FPM list wont get 5 hawasil. Its probably 4-4 or 4-3-1 if civil movement managed a seat. Tachnag wont be able to divide their votes on 3 candidates so it will be on 2. FPM will take sahnawi ( almost guaranted according to FPM makana) and the 4th seat will be a toss between pano, tachnag and hanchag.
as for tashnag, if they think that the list has high chances of getting 5 seats, they can easily give 4 000 votes to each of their 3 candidates and make them win.
last, massoud achkar can be the 4th winner too