Elections Elections: Beirut 1 district

lebanese1

Legendary Member
FPM list wont get 5 hawasil. Its probably 4-4 or 4-3-1 if civil movement managed a seat. Tachnag wont be able to divide their votes on 3 candidates so it will be on 2. FPM will take sahnawi ( almost guaranted according to FPM makana) and the 4th seat will be a toss between pano, tachnag and hanchag.
if civil movement don't get a 7asel, it can very well end up as 5-3.

as for tashnag, if they think that the list has high chances of getting 5 seats, they can easily give 4 000 votes to each of their 3 candidates and make them win.

last, massoud achkar can be the 4th winner too
 
  • Advertisement
  • FPM list wont get 5 hawasil. Its probably 4-4 or 4-3-1 if civil movement managed a seat. Tachnag wont be able to divide their votes on 3 candidates so it will be on 2. FPM will take sahnawi ( almost guaranted according to FPM makana) and the 4th seat will be a toss between pano, tachnag and hanchag.
    Which begs question, whats point of adding hanchag and FM to the list when we will get 4 with them or without them.
    Per 2009 elections, we get 4 seats facing FM, LF, Hanchag , Pharoan, Kataeb all together...
     
    if civil movement don't get a 7asel, it can very well end up as 5-3.

    as for tashnag, if they think that the list has high chances of getting 5 seats, they can easily give 4 000 votes to each of their 3 candidates and make them win.

    last, massoud achkar can be the 4th winner too
    As per FPM makana 4-4 is the probable result.
     
    IF civil society list didn't get the hassel FPM will get 5 seats the other 3 , don't forget FPM is number one party in ashrafieh most probably 2 tachnaq Pano or ashkar sehnaoui and hanchak candidate
     
    Ouwet tafdili vote will go to Imad Wakim per Geagea, whose stronger Wakim or Pharoan in tafdili?
    Personal opinion no real info here. I dont think independant candidates can easily beat candidates backed by parties especially like the case of wakim where all LF votes will go to him from all sects in the districts .
     

    Top