Parliamentary elections 2018 Elections: Jezzine-Saida district

U

unitedlb

Well-Known Member
It can be a smart move this way fm will end up with 3 mps from the district
I reckon this will be good for FPM. It looks like Osama has enough votes to win, regardless of how much support the FM give to Bizri. SO if FM votes for Bizri, this will add towards the FPM list and potentially help elect a second FPM seat in Jezzine.
 
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  • insensible

    insensible

    Well-Known Member
    How farfetched would it be that FM gives some votes to Bizri so he comes on top of Oussama Saad in return for working with them after elections? Hek hek FM will lose the 2nd seat in Saida
    Are you serious?
    FM are afraid they won’t reach hassel at all and they keep attacking Bizri because he refused to ally with them.
     
    Lebnaouneh

    Lebnaouneh

    Well-Known Member
    FM has easily 2 7assel and a bit more
    They don’t have Jamaa Islamiya support anymore nor pissed Ogero employees which amount to a pretty good number of families in Saida but yea should be still a comfortable 7assel at least, they got 25000 in 2009 @insensible
     
    N

    new hope

    Member
    They don’t have Jamaa Islamiya support anymore nor pissed Ogero employees which amount to a pretty good number of families in Saida but yea should be still a comfortable 7assel at least, they got 25000 in 2009 @insensible
    + the christian candidates they have they can compensate jamaa loss and a bit more
     
    TayyarBeino

    TayyarBeino

    Legendary Member
    الحريري لا تصل إلى جزين
    • الإثنين 16 نيسان 2018


    لم تبلغ النائبة بهية الحريري جزين في جولتها الانتخابية الأولى ضمن دائرة صيدا جزين. من بسري إلى دير مشموشة مروراً ببنواتي، البلدة السنيّة الوحيدة في قضاء جزين (800 ناخب)، وصولاً إلى عازور، تنقلت رئيسة لائحة التكامل الأهلي التي تجمعها بثلاثة مسيحيين جزينيين مستقلين. في أحد مطاعم عازور، على بعد كيلومترات قليلة من جزين، كان الحضور الانتخابي أقل من المتوقع. لم يكن هذا هو السبب الوحيد لعدم المضي في اتجاه جزين. ما سرّب عنها قبيل الزيارة من مواقف ضد النائب زياد أسود والقوات، أسهم في خلق مناخ جزيني سلبيّ تجاه تيار المستقبل، كان سيترجم سلباً لو أكملت النائبة عن صيدا باتجاه جزين.

     
    L

    LVV

    Well-Known Member
    + the christian candidates they have they can compensate jamaa loss and a bit more
    Are you serious Only Bahia will get elected
    Bezri plus jamaa plus money plus Ogero gave them 25,000
    Rizk has little support in Jezzin
    He and LF got 6000 votes
    LF will get 80 percent of these votes
    Today FPM plus Salah Gibran is 18,000 votes. Plus Christians in Saida plus jamaa plus bezri
    They will pass FM easily
     
    Placebo

    Placebo

    Legendary Member
    Orange Room Supporter
    Today FPM plus Salah Gibran is 18,000 votes. Plus Christians in Saida plus jamaa plus bezri
    They will pass FM easily
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
     
    SeaAb

    SeaAb

    Legendary Member
    Staff member
    Super Penguin
    That's what tafdili voting does! :cool:
     
    L

    LVV

    Well-Known Member
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
    Yes sure
    Future lost Bizri jamaa plus money they are less than 20,000
    Tayyar has almost 15,000 votes without Salah Gibran
    Anyway even with your figures at 22 they have more votes than FM with less than 20
     
    F

    freelebanonn

    Legendary Member
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
    According to abdo saad jezzine saida district is the most ambiguous between all districts . The results are so close that he cant tell which lists will get 2 seats and which list will end up with 1. But what he is so sure of is that its impossible for any list to achieve 3 hassels.
     
    eLad

    eLad

    Legendary Member
    Orange Room Supporter
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
    20-22k is more than 1.5 hasels and after LF list is eliminated the 22k will become over 1.7 hasels
     
    HannaTheCrusader

    HannaTheCrusader

    Legendary Member
    Orange Room Supporter

    tayyar startegicalaly shgould build bridges with the jama3a all over lebanon
    trhye can assist tayyar waith 7awasel all over sunnis regions

    akkar
    chouf
    beirut 1, 2
    beka33 gharbe
    saida
    and even baabda
    hermel for sure

    and tayyar should work on developoing it for the furure
    there is no difference between hariri, jama3a, ousama and co,same same
    so if we can ally with hariri., we can do that with jama3a
     
    HannaTheCrusader

    HannaTheCrusader

    Legendary Member
    Orange Room Supporter
    Are you serious Only Bahia will get elected
    Bezri plus jamaa plus money plus Ogero gave them 25,000
    Rizk has little support in Jezzin
    He and LF got 6000 votes
    LF will get 80 percent of these votes
    Today FPM plus Salah Gibran is 18,000 votes. Plus Christians in Saida plus jamaa plus bezri
    They will pass FM easily

    sa;ah7 gebran was recieving hariri yesterday
    seem she is playing nice with all parties
     
    HannaTheCrusader

    HannaTheCrusader

    Legendary Member
    Orange Room Supporter
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
    this is the best startegy they could do
    shoa and sunnis refysed to ally with them

    they has only jama3a ands bezri to ally with
    simple

    though allyting with jama3a is not a bad idea and should be worked and developed
     
    L

    lebanese1

    Legendary Member
    FPM in jezzine is roughly 12'000 votes now, in the best cases. They are short of a hassel due to the silly electoral diivision of incl. jezzine with saida.
    They might get to 20-22k with Bizri, which is around 1.4 Hassels. They will get 1 MP in the best cases. They will never get the 2nd.

    The risk is that Bizri gets more preferential than oussama saad, then FPM wouldn't even get a seat.

    To this day, I still don't understand the strategy of FPM in Jezzine and in Baabda.
    it is enough for Tayyar's list to get more votes than Hariri's list or Berri's one to get the second seat irrespective of the 7asel and ksour.
     
    E

    es27

    Active Member
    Tayyar has around 13 to 14 k votes in jezzine plus around 8000 votes from jama3a and bizri so it will be around 22k votes
     
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