Rifi can win 4 seats there, his supporters will go to ballot boxes in masses, they are eager to vote, while Hariri's support base is not. And he'll try to appease the independents and minorities with moderate/popular figures.
If FM-Mikati-Karami don't run in 1 list, Rifi can even win more since one of them won't be able to cross the 12.5% threshold...
I actually thought Tripoli was with Minnieh/Dinnieh? The christians of the Tripoli district anja2 fiyoun yente5bo 1 seat.
Minnieh/Dinnieh is with Tripoli, and it's also Rifi stronghold.
Christians are 11% of the population in Tripoli-Minnieh/Dinnieh and effect the select of 1.5-2 seats. The Maronite seat is probably going to the 2nd/3rd list.
loooooool
so mikatri will be burned in sunni street
allying with a shia posse , in the heart of sunnistan
mikati must be dumb
rifi and ahriri will shred him to pieces
what can faysalk offer to mikati,
karami has few sunnis ( 5k at best) and few alaw voters
tripoli needs 16 k 7assel
mikati hs it on his own and he doesnt need to carry karami luggage
ارسل السيد رفعت عيد قائد الحزب العربي الديموقراطي الى كوادره وقيادته في جبل محسن التي يسكنها العلويون على مدخل طرابلس بأنه في الانتخابات القادمة عليهم التصويت وعددهم 25 الف صوت بطلب من القيادة السورية للائحة الرئيس نجيب ميقاتي والوزير سليمان فرنجية والوزير جان عبيد، وان عليهم منذ الان العمل لصالح هذه اللائحة
القيادة السورية تطلب من 25 الف صوت ناخب علوي في جبل محسن تأييد لائحة الرئيس ميقاتي – فرنجية – جان عبيد
stop reading diyar, okkkkkkkkk
2nd, alaws are about 17K , which aboiut n7-8 actually votes.
tayyar on their own, will get between 500-1000
hariri maybe like 500
rest will follow hezeb lead ( so fra we dont know and i dont care) they represent 0.,1 of 7assel, isnignificant really
stop reading diyar, okkkkkkkkk
2nd, alaws are about 17K , which aboiut n7-8 actually votes.
tayyar on their own, will get between 500-1000
hariri maybe like 500
rest will follow hezeb lead ( so fra we dont know and i dont care) they represent 0.,1 of 7assel, isnignificant really
What is the 7assel in Tripoli??
It depends on the number of voters. If the participation is 50% , this means around 175000 voters approximately; divide this number by 11 MPs, you will get around 16000. But again, it depends on the participation, the higher it is, the bigger is the 7assel.
Say it is 16K. The alawites cant get their MP and the christians will get 1 MP. One of them should have gone to the North christian district.